Atalanta vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ATL
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 2
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CES
0 - 1
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 1
CES
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 0
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
CES
3 - 0
ASG
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CES
2 - 0
GEN
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |