Atalanta U18 vs Lecce U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
16º
16º
38
9º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 2
HEL
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
2 - 2
ATA
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 0
SAM
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATA
22%
19%
58%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
ASR
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
GEN
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 2
LEC
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
BOL
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 0
LEC
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LEC
5 - 3
LAZ
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |