At. Sanluqueño vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
SAN
20%
25%
56%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
ANT
73%
18%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
POZ
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALG
32%
27%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CRD
1 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 3
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |