At. Sanluqueño vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
3 - 4
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 1
SEV
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 0
LUC
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
ARC
26%
26%
49%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 0
LUC
68%
20%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |