At. Sanluqueño vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAL
24%
28%
48%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
53%
26%
21%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
JER
41%
29%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
AYA
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
LUC
4 - 2
ARC
48%
27%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CCF
1 - 1
LUC
30%
27%
42%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
LUC
3 - 1
BET
29%
28%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ALG
2 - 0
LUC
64%
22%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LUC
3 - 0
CEU
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |