At. Sanluqueño vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 2
NUE
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
DHE
0 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 0
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SFE
0 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 1
BAR
22%
28%
50%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
JER
1 - 2
LUC
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 1
BET
18%
26%
56%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 0
LUC
62%
22%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 2
VVA
25%
29%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |