At. Sanluqueño vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VVA
7 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 0
SCF
57%
23%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ANT
1 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
DHE
27%
27%
46%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +4 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAL
42%
29%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NUE
1 - 1
LUC
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
VVA
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SCF
1 - 1
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |