Salesiano A vs Modalcoy A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salesiano A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
PIS
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FIL
1 - 0
SAL
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
INT
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
6 - 0
IND
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VED
3 - 1
SAL
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Modalcoy A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 2
VED
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
MOD
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
CON
57%
21%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JUA
4 - 1
MOD
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
IMP
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |