Ronda Sur vs Seq. Castello A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ronda Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RON
3 - 4
EST
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ORP
5 - 0
RON
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
RON
1 - 1
DRA
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RON
2 - 1
RAC
55%
21%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
5 - 2
RON
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Seq. Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
13 - 0
COS
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
SLA
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATL
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 5
EST
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 3
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |