Ronda Sur vs G. Castellon A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ronda Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 7
RON
46%
23%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RON
0 - 5
RAF
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SLA
4 - 1
RON
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RON
2 - 1
CAS
23%
22%
55%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EST
4 - 0
RON
87%
9%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
G. Castellon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
7 - 0
RAC
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COS
1 - 3
GRA
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 0
BEN
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RAF
3 - 1
GRA
83%
11%
5%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 3
VIL
29%
23%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |