Atl. Orihuela vs G. Caliche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Orihuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DHO
3 - 2
ATO
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATO
4 - 2
CFP
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 0
RED
71%
16%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 3
RAC
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
GRU
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GRU
4 - 2
ISI
56%
19%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RAC
4 - 2
GRU
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |