Atl. Orihuela vs Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Orihuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
DNA
1 - 5
ATO
38%
21%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ATO
4 - 0
ALG
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 10
ATO
23%
19%
58%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
4 - 2
ATO
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 6
ATO
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
DNA
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 1
FOR
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
MUR
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SGU
6 - 0
FOR
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |