Atl. Orihuela vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Orihuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DNA
2 - 1
ATO
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 4
ATO
15%
16%
69%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ATO
1 - 0
FOR
91%
6%
2%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALG
1 - 0
ATO
5%
11%
85%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
THA
1 - 1
ATO
6%
12%
82%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BIG
5 - 1
THA
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BIG
0 - 1
CFP
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 3
BIG
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BIG
3 - 0
BEN
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GRU
4 - 0
BIG
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |