Macastre vs UD Paterna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
79.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 3
MAC
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 2
LOR
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VDM
2 - 1
MAC
56%
21%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 5
ALX
6%
13%
82%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHE
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Paterna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PAT
7 - 1
GOD
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 5
PAT
6%
12%
82%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
REQ
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CLU
1 - 4
PAT
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
5 - 1
CAM
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |