Macastre vs Sporting Alaquas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
42.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 3
TOR
5%
11%
84%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CLU
2 - 2
MAC
54%
21%
26%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REQ
2 - 0
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 5
RIB
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Alaquas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 0
VDM
35%
21%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 2
SAL
94%
4%
2%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CAU
3 - 1
SAL
83%
11%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 1
CLU
46%
20%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 2
ATU
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |