Macastre vs Loriguilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VDM
2 - 1
MAC
56%
21%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 5
ALX
6%
13%
82%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHE
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
RMN
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GOD
1 - 0
MAC
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Loriguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
GOD
76%
14%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
LOR
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
REQ
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CLU
2 - 5
LOR
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
LOR
30%
22%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |