Macastre vs Loriguilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAC
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAC
6 - 2
GOD
65%
19%
17%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 4
MAC
62%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 1
CLU
50%
22%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AVA
3 - 0
MAC
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Loriguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
CHI
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 6
LOR
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
LOR
39%
23%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LOR
7 - 0
SAN
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GOD
1 - 1
LOR
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |