Macastre vs Alumnos D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
GOD
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CIU
6 - 3
MAC
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 2
QUA
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
REQ
2 - 6
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Alumnos D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
3 - 1
LOR
19%
20%
62%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
6 - 1
ANT
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GOD
1 - 1
ANT
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ANT
3 - 4
PAL
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
QUA
2 - 0
ANT
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |