At. Cortegana vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
AGU
3 - 1
ATC
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ATC
1 - 0
REC
33%
27%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SFE
2 - 1
ATC
68%
20%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ATC
0 - 1
DHE
21%
27%
53%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATC
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 1
VVA
44%
28%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 2
LUC
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 1
BOL
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
JER
0 - 0
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AGU
4 - 1
LUC
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |