At. Calatayud vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATC
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ATC
0 - 0
CDC
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ATC
2 - 1
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CEL
0 - 0
ATC
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ATC
5 - 1
BUJ
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UDM
3 - 1
CDU
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FUE
1 - 1
UDM
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UDM
4 - 2
CDM
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
UDM
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |