ASWH vs VVOG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 3
ASW
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 3
ASW
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ASW
3 - 0
RIJ
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
STE
2 - 3
ASW
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ASW
1 - 3
ODI
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VVO
1 - 3
VOL
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 0
VVO
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VVO
0 - 1
IJS
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 5
VVO
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VVO
3 - 3
ONS
21%
22%
58%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |