ASWH vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ARC
1 - 2
ASW
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ASW
2 - 2
QUI
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ASW
4 - 0
DTO
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KAT
1 - 1
ASW
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ASW
1 - 0
NOO
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIS
3 - 0
EXC
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
CAP
1 - 2
LIS
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ARC
0 - 2
LIS
20%
21%
58%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
TER
2 - 1
LIS
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 6
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |