ASWH vs ACV Assen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ASW
3 - 2
DOV
45%
23%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
ASW
61%
20%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ASW
4 - 1
ONS
59%
20%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 1
ASW
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SPI
0 - 0
ASW
32%
24%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ACV
1 - 2
ALM
22%
23%
56%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ONS
4 - 1
ACV
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ACV
2 - 1
VOL
35%
24%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 0
ACV
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ODI
4 - 0
ACV
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |