Schrems vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 1
SVR
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASV
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
SPR
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 1
ASV
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
0 - 2
SCR
19%
19%
62%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
SCO
9%
15%
76%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SCO
1 - 0
SPR
56%
21%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 2
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
SCO
1 - 1
SCR
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
4 - 3
SCO
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |