Schrems vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
LAN
5 - 2
ASV
36%
24%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 2
SOL
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SVS
1 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 0
LEO
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 2
MIS
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
SVS
2 - 1
SCO
75%
16%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 0
MIS
24%
24%
52%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GAF
4 - 1
SCO
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 0
SVH
43%
25%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
1 - 2
KOT
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |