ASV Dronten vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
71.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Dronten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ASV
0 - 3
SPA
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DOV
6 - 1
ASV
81%
14%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ASV
0 - 2
ORA
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
URK
3 - 1
ASV
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ASV
1 - 3
ACV
15%
21%
64%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 0
GEN
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EEM
5 - 3
EXC
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 0
APE
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 2
NSC
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AZS
0 - 0
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |