ASV Cham vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
6º
3º
0
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
3 | 66 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 63 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 61 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 59 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 51 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 45 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 42 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 39 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 24 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 17 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 15 |
17º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
ASV
3 - 2
ING
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
EIC
1 - 2
ASV
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
ASV
4 - 0
WEI
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
TSV
1 - 1
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ASV
2 - 0
TSK
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
JRE
0 - 3
SPI
17%
20%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AMM
0 - 2
JRE
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FCE
1 - 3
JRE
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
JRE
2 - 1
ELT
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
REG
3 - 1
JRE
61%
19%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |