Liga III Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 1-4
ASU Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Satu Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASU Politehnica Timisoara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
CSM
2 - 0
APT
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MBM
1 - 2
APT
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
APT
1 - 2
MBM
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
PPE
2 - 1
APT
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
APT
1 - 1
MIN
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CSM Satu Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
CSM
2 - 0
APT
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 4
CSM
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
CSM
2 - 2
MIN
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
CSM
2 - 0
MBM
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
CSC
1 - 3
CSM
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |