Astur vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
75.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TIN
5 - 0
AST
66%
20%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AST
0 - 1
PRA
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AST
0 - 2
COL
26%
25%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AST
2 - 2
LLA
28%
25%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
AST
1 - 4
CEA
25%
26%
49%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UPL
2 - 0
MAR
64%
23%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
URR
1 - 3
UPL
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UPL
1 - 0
CON
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 5
UPL
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
UPL
3 - 0
COV
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |