Astur vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LEA
1 - 3
AST
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
AST
1 - 1
CEA
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
MOS
4 - 4
AST
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
COL
3 - 3
AST
24%
25%
51%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
AST
0 - 1
NAV
38%
27%
35%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
UPL
3 - 0
TUI
47%
26%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
RIB
1 - 1
UPL
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
UPL
3 - 0
COV
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
UPL
1 - 1
CON
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LLA
2 - 3
UPL
34%
26%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |