Astur vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CON
0 - 2
AST
51%
25%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
AST
3 - 0
NAI
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 0
AST
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
AST
0 - 2
MOS
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
COL
1 - 1
AST
57%
25%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
UPL
0 - 0
AVI
47%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
DPT
2 - 4
UPL
15%
23%
62%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
UPL
3 - 0
PCF
64%
21%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 2
UPL
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
UPL
1 - 1
RIB
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |