Astur vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TIN
0 - 1
AST
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AST
0 - 1
PUM
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SDC
1 - 0
AST
22%
23%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AST
0 - 0
MUR
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AST
1 - 1
MOS
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
MOS
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SDN
0 - 5
UCO
15%
20%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 4
SIE
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SDL
3 - 2
UCO
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 0
NAL
51%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |