Astur vs UC Ceares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
AST
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
AST
0 - 1
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
AST
2 - 1
HIS
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
MOS
2 - 2
AST
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
AST
5 - 1
COV
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CEA
1 - 1
NAV
42%
27%
31%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
UPL
0 - 1
CEA
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CEA
1 - 2
CAU
25%
27%
49%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
GIN
3 - 1
CEA
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
TUI
3 - 1
CEA
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |