Astur vs UC Ceares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LLA
1 - 3
AST
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
SIE
2 - 2
AST
47%
25%
27%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
AST
4 - 2
RTI
40%
28%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
GIN
1 - 1
AST
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
AST
1 - 0
LLA
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CEA
2 - 0
NAI
14%
20%
66%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
CEA
0 - 0
LUA
23%
28%
50%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SMA
0 - 0
CEA
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
CEA
1 - 1
CAN
33%
27%
41%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
ATL
1 - 1
CEA
84%
12%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +1 |