Astur vs Atlético Siero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
NAL
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
2 - 1
AST
48%
23%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AST
4 - 0
TUR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 3
AST
37%
25%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AST
2 - 0
LAC
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Siero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
MOS
42%
24%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SDN
4 - 3
SIE
9%
18%
72%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 3
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 1
SDL
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAL
0 - 2
SIE
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |