Astur vs Sd Llano 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 0
AST
48%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AST
1 - 1
ROC
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BOA
4 - 1
AST
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AST
2 - 0
TUR
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sd Llano 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
L20
1 - 1
LLA
35%
24%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
L20
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
L20
2 - 2
BOA
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TUR
3 - 3
L20
55%
22%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
L20
1 - 1
COM
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |