Astur vs Ribadesella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
SMA
1 - 2
AST
50%
27%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
AST
1 - 1
MAR
27%
27%
45%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
CDT
2 - 1
AST
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
AST
2 - 0
VAL
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
LEA
3 - 1
AST
61%
23%
16%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ribadesella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
RIB
2 - 2
RTI
37%
28%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
COV
1 - 0
RIB
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
RIB
0 - 4
AVI
18%
28%
55%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
TUR
4 - 1
RIB
44%
27%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
RIB
2 - 1
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |