Astur vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
62.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
0 - 2
AST
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AST
0 - 3
LEA
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
AST
45%
25%
29%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AST
5 - 0
TUR
78%
16%
6%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PCF
1 - 2
AST
42%
28%
30%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
SPB
2 - 0
HIS
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ROB
0 - 0
SPB
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
SPB
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
NAV
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LEA
1 - 3
SPB
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |