Astur vs Real Oviedo Vetusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AST
2 - 1
GIN
46%
26%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AST
0 - 0
COV
23%
25%
53%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
AST
76%
16%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
AST
3 - 2
URR
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo Vetusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ROB
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
URR
0 - 1
ROB
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ROB
3 - 0
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
ROB
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ROB
0 - 1
UPL
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |