Astur vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
73.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TUI
3 - 2
AST
85%
11%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AST
0 - 3
MOS
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ROB
4 - 2
AST
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
ROC
60%
23%
18%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 1
AST
48%
25%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AVI
0 - 0
MAR
64%
23%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
URR
2 - 1
AVI
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 0
CON
71%
20%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
AVI
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 0
UPL
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |