Astur vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
AST
60%
22%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
AST
0 - 1
GIN
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UPL
3 - 0
AST
78%
16%
7%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AST
0 - 5
UNI
15%
22%
63%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 0
AST
77%
15%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
COV
71%
19%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIB
1 - 3
AVI
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAU
33%
28%
39%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
AVI
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PRA
1 - 2
AVI
36%
28%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |