Astur vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CAU
2 - 1
AST
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
AST
4 - 1
SPB
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CEA
4 - 3
AST
27%
27%
46%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
RTI
2 - 1
AST
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
AST
1 - 3
UPL
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
AVI
3 - 1
HIS
70%
20%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
MOS
2 - 2
AVI
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
AVI
3 - 1
AND
79%
16%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
AVI
1 - 0
GIN
62%
23%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
LEA
2 - 1
AVI
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |