Astur vs Piloñesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
PCF
1 - 0
AST
47%
27%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
AST
2 - 0
VAL
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
RIB
0 - 0
AST
49%
26%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AST
1 - 0
RTI
51%
25%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
UPL
1 - 2
AST
69%
20%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Piloñesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
DPT
0 - 2
AVI
17%
22%
60%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
NAR
2 - 0
DPT
65%
21%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
PCF
4 - 0
DPT
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
DPT
2 - 1
VAL
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
RIB
3 - 0
DPT
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |