Astur vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+187%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
AST
1 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
LLA
1 - 1
AST
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
AST
2 - 3
UPL
17%
25%
59%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
AND
0 - 1
AST
34%
29%
38%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
AST
0 - 2
RTI
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
NAI
6 - 1
MOS
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
UNI
2 - 3
NAI
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
NAI
0 - 1
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LLA
0 - 1
NAI
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
NAI
0 - 4
RIB
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |