Astur vs Nalón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 2
AST
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AST
1 - 4
RAY
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 6
AST
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
L20
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nalón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NAL
1 - 1
LLA
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 2
NAL
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NAL
1 - 0
BOA
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 1
NAL
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NAL
0 - 1
COM
34%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |