Astur vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
REA
0 - 1
AST
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AST
3 - 2
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 1
AST
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AST
1 - 0
FRE
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AST
4 - 1
GIN
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
LUA
3 - 2
VAL
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AND
0 - 0
LUA
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
COM
0 - 0
LUA
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
REA
2 - 1
LUA
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LUA
1 - 0
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |