Astur vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 1
AST
77%
16%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AST
0 - 1
TUR
26%
24%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 2
AST
54%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AST
0 - 0
VAL
21%
23%
55%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 1
AST
76%
16%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LUA
0 - 1
ESM
18%
21%
62%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 0
LUA
68%
20%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LUA
1 - 1
AND
23%
25%
53%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 1
LUA
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LUA
0 - 0
RIB
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |