Astur vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 3
AST
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AST
0 - 2
GIN
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CUD
5 - 2
AST
50%
25%
25%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AST
1 - 2
CON
68%
18%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAU
0 - 1
AST
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
COV
1 - 0
TUI
27%
26%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RIB
2 - 1
COV
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 0
COV
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
COV
1 - 0
SIE
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GIN
0 - 2
COV
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |