Astur vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
AST
2 - 1
SIE
25%
28%
47%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
RTI
3 - 2
AST
73%
18%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
AST
0 - 1
GIN
36%
27%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
LLA
2 - 1
AST
59%
24%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AST
1 - 0
NAR
64%
22%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
HIS
1 - 0
COV
67%
19%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
COV
0 - 2
ROB
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
SPB
3 - 0
COV
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
COV
2 - 2
NAV
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LEA
5 - 1
COV
78%
14%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |