Astur vs CD Colunga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 1
AST
37%
25%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
NAL
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 2
AST
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AST
1 - 4
RAY
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 6
AST
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Colunga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
LLA
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 1
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
BOA
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
TUR
3 - 2
COL
40%
23%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
COM
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |